Regulation & Policy

Tracking the rules shaping prediction and crypto markets — from CFTC oversight and state-level battles to federal legislation and legal challenges between platforms and regulators. We break down what the policy shift means for traders and the industry.

The CFTC proposal would require regulated event contract exchanges to collect additional trader information as part of a broader market surveillance framework

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Proposes Employer, Occupation Reporting Requirement for Prediction Market Traders

The latest CFTC rule proposal would replace temporary reporting relief with a permanent framework for regulated event contracts while requiring exchanges to collect occupation, employer and...

Mike Breen

June 25, 2026

A House committee advanced the first prediction market bill to clear a committee vote this year, moving a proposed congressional trading ban one step forward.

Regulation & Policy

House Panel Advances Congress Prediction Market Ban, First Of 20+ Bills To Move Forward

The first prediction market bill to clear a committee vote split lawmakers over whether Congress should adopt a narrow ethics measure or a broader...

Mike Breen

June 24, 2026

CME’s planned lawsuit against the CFTC could test whether crypto perpetual futures remain in the regulated futures market or face treatment as swaps.

Regulation & Policy

CME Sues CFTC Over Perpetual Futures as Kalshi Perps Volume Surges

CME Group sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Chair Michael Selig on Thursday over the agency’s approval of perpetual futures, escalating a fight over whether a...

Mike Breen

June 18, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC’s Prediction Markets Rule Draws Scrutiny Over Public Interest Gaps and Legal Staying Power

When announcing the agency’s proposed rule last week, CFTC chairman Michael Selig said it became clear from public comments that “the Commission needed to prioritize updating...

Valerie Cross

June 15, 2026

Federal regulators sued New Mexico after the state challenged Kalshi’s sports event contracts, deepening the legal fight over whether prediction markets are governed by gambling laws or federal derivatives rules.

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Sues New Mexico Over Kalshi, Expanding Prediction Market Fight With States

New Mexico becomes the eighth state targeted by the CFTC as the agency pushes back against efforts to treat sports event contracts as...

Mike Breen

June 12, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Prediction Markets Rule Defines Gaming, Draws Line on Micro-Bets and Injury Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published its long-awaited prediction markets proposed rule Wednesday, putting the first formal regulatory text for event contract...

Valerie Cross

June 10, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Moves to Clear Gemini’s Record, Says 2022 Complaint ‘Should Not Have Been Filed’

The CFTC is moving to vacate its own consent order against Gemini, admitting the 2022 lawsuit never should have been filed, and closing the chapter on an enforcement saga that took down a...

Valerie Cross

May 27, 2026

The House Oversight Committee requested internal records from Kalshi and Polymarket as part of an investigation into suspicious prediction market trading

Regulation & Policy

Congress Seeks Kalshi, Polymarket Records Amid ‘Wild West’ Insider Trading Concerns

The House Oversight Committee is seeking internal records that could help identify traders behind suspicious activity, while Chairman James Comer called the regulatory environment for...

Mike Breen

May 22, 2026

A Senate hearing on sports integrity put prediction markets under scrutiny as lawmakers questioned whether sports event contracts sidestep state betting rules

Regulation & Policy

Senate Sports Betting Integrity Hearing Scrutinizes Prediction Markets

Lawmakers discussed sports prediction markets during a Senate hearing focused on betting integrity, youth protection and the limits of CFTC...

Pat Evans

May 20, 2026

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued Minnesota after Gov. Tim Walz signed legislation banning several major categories of prediction markets and imposing criminal penalties tied to offering or facilitating the products

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Sues Minnesota After Walz Signs Prediction Markets Ban Into Law

The CFTC is seeking to block what it calls “the first outright ban on ‘prediction markets’ in the United States” before Minnesota’s new law takes effect Aug....

Mike Breen

May 19, 2026

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