The CFTC-regulated prediction market landscape

Updated: July 30, 2026

Every US prediction market operator runs on the same regulatory plumbing: a CFTC-licensed exchange (DCM) where contracts trade, a clearinghouse (DCO) that guarantees settlement, and intermediaries (FCM, IB) that connect customers to the market. This page tracks who holds which license — and which front-end brands route through them.

By The Numbers

10

Markets tracked
CFTC-regulated prediction markets we follow

14

CFTC applications
Total checked registrations across all operators

5

Live status
Approved and trading today

CFTC-regulated DCM exchanges, DCO clearinghouses, FCM and IB intermediaries, and the front-end brands routing through them — plus the emerging SEC-regulated securities-based event contracts track. Current as of May 2026.

OperatorRegistrationStatesLaunch DateStatus
FM Fanatics Markets Tech PartnerDecember 1, 2026 Pending
P Polymarket US DCM DCO49 statesJune 1, 2020 Live

License Glossary

A CFTC-regulated exchange authorized to list and trade derivatives contracts (including event/prediction contracts) directly to the public. This is the core “we run our own regulated exchange” registration — e.g., Kalshi operates as a DCM.

A CFTC-regulated clearinghouse that clears and settles trades — it stands between buyer and seller, guarantees performance, and manages default risk. An operator with a DCO can self-clear its own trades rather than relying on a third party.

An intermediary registered with the CFTC that’s authorized to solicit or accept orders and hold customer funds/margin for trades on a DCM. This is the “handles customer money” registration — relevant for firms that custody trader funds rather than just providing access.

An intermediary that solicits or accepts customer orders but does not hold customer funds itself — it introduces the customer’s business to an FCM, which handles the money side. A lighter-weight registration than an FCM.

Regulation & Policy

Kalshi Pulls Sports Mention Markets Amid Reported CFTC Probe, Leaves Others Live

Sports announcer mention markets, which generated more than $47 million in trading volume on Kalshi during the 2025-2026 NFL season, have been pulled from the platform, but similar contracts remain available as federal regulators reportedly examine whether the category is too easily manipulated