US Elections
Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor...
Pat Evans
May 8, 2026
Polymarket
US Elections
Reality Star Spencer Pratt Emerges as Real Contender in LA Mayor Markets
Los Angeles is in a weird phase as residents look toward electing its next mayor, with prediction markets now suggesting reality star Spencer Pratt is more than a sideshow in the race. As...
Pat Evans
May 7, 2026
Finance & Earnings
ICE Posts Record Earnings, Doubles Down on Polymarket Data and 24/7 Onchain Markets
Intercontinental Exchange, the company behind the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), reported its strongest quarter in company history on April 30. But buried in the prepared remarks was...
Valerie Cross
May 4, 2026
Volume Report
Kalshi Widens Volume Lead Over Polymarket With Record $14.8B April
Kalshi pulls away with record April volume of $14.81B (+13.3% MoM) while Polymarket fell 14.8%, widening the gap to $5.8B. Sports-driven model proving more resilient for now with Kalshi’s...
Valerie Cross
May 1, 2026
Regulation & Policy
Senate Bans Lawmakers from Prediction Markets in Win for Industry
The Senate moved swiftly on Thursday to put its own house in order on prediction markets, passing a resolution by unanimous consent that bars sitting senators, officers, and staff from...
Valerie Cross
May 1, 2026
Regulation & Policy
Polymarket Eyes US Return as CFTC Weighs Regulatory Fit of Offshore Platform
Polymarket, one of the leading prediction market platforms worldwide, has been in discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to reopen U.S. customer access to its primary...
Mike Breen
April 29, 2026
Crypto
Prediction Markets Don’t Just Reflect Crypto Sentiment; They Help Shape It
When tensions between the United States and Iran escalated earlier this month, one of the fastest places to register the shift was not social media or breaking news alerts. Instead,...
Iliana Mavrou
April 28, 2026
Volume Report
Kalshi Posts Record $3.9B Volume Week, Extends Lead Over Polymarket as Parlays Surge
Weekly notional volume bounced back sharply after last week’s post-Masters pullback, with the two leading prediction markets combining for $5.9B in weekly notional volume for the week...
Valerie Cross
April 27, 2026
Regulation & Policy
US Army Soldier Arrested for Insider Trading on Maduro Raid He Helped Plan
The suspected inside trader who netted more than $400K on well-timed trades related to the capture of former Venezuela president Nicolas Maduro has finally been named. The Department of...
Valerie Cross
April 23, 2026
Legal News & Updates
Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com Over Sports Contracts in ‘Race to the Courthouse’
The Wisconsin Department of Justice has filed a series of lawsuits against major prediction market operators and their distribution partners, alleging that sports event contracts offered by...
Mike Breen
April 23, 2026