Polymarket Archives

Volume Report

Kalshi Notches Record $3.5B Volume, with $545 Million Coming in From Masters

The week of April 6–11 was the strongest yet for prediction markets, driven by The Masters and a combination of US election races and geopolitical events. Kalshi posted an all-time best...

Valerie Cross

April 13, 2026

Democratic lawmakers are urging the CFTC to use existing authority under the Commodity Exchange Act to address controversial prediction markets on offshore platforms, raising questions about enforcement, jurisdiction, and U.S. user access

Regulation & Policy

Lawmakers Urge CFTC Crackdown on Offshore Prediction Markets

In letter to CFTC, Democratic members of Congress cite CEA authority to target offshore platforms like Polymarket, as enforcement precedent and U.S. access shape the case for...

Mike Breen

April 8, 2026

Industry

Polymarket US Posts $256M March, Launches Politics and Is Built to Scale

Four months after its debut, Polymarket US is done easing in. Built on a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse, a fee structure that undercuts every major competitor, and a liquidity...

Valerie Cross

April 8, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket trends and diverging paths

Data

Kalshi Posts $13B Record Volume in March, Extends Lead Over Polymarket to $1B

Both platforms hit March records, then diverged: Kalshi rose 6.4% in the week of March 30 while Polymarket fell 12%, widening Kalshi's notional volume lead to...

Valerie Cross

April 6, 2026

Paradigm trading terminal institutional infrastructure building

Industry

Paradigm Builds Trading Terminal as Prediction Markets Go Institutional

A new Paradigm trading terminal, JPMorgan's public interest, and a string of institutional moves signal that prediction markets are maturing fast, and the competitive landscape is reshaping...

Valerie Cross

April 1, 2026

Industry

Kalshi Campaign Calls Out Key Misconceptions Emanating from Congress

Kalshi launched an ad blitz in D.C. in response to the wave of Congressional pressure, much of which has leaned on some critical misconceptions of regulated prediction markets like Kalshi....

Valerie Cross

March 30, 2026

Kalshi Polymarket all time high volume march

Volume Report

Kalshi Hits $12B, Polymarket $10B All-Time Highs on March NCAA Tournament Surge

Kalshi posted $12.35B in March with two days to go for its biggest month ever while Polymarket crossed $10B in monthly volume for the first time. March Madness trading fueled the...

Valerie Cross

March 30, 2026

Magnified trading activity around a potential Iran ceasefire highlights growing scrutiny over insider trading risks in prediction markets

Regulation & Policy

Iran Ceasefire Trades Again Spotlight Insider Trading Rules in Prediction Markets

Well-timed trades ahead of a U.S. policy shift have come under scrutiny on Polymarket and highlight differences in how insider trading is handled across...

Mike Breen

March 25, 2026

Prediction market odds compared march madness

Data

The Hidden Tax Inside Your Prediction Market App: March Madness Odds Compared

We compared pricing across six prediction market apps and two sportsbooks for five NCAA tournament games. House take ranged from a staggering 1.3% to 8.2%, a meaningful impact on any...

Valerie Cross

March 24, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket surge on march madness

Data

Kalshi Hits Record $3.4B Week with March Madness as Polymarket Tallies $2.5B

Kalshi posted a new record $3.40 billion notional volume week as Polymarket's sports volume surged 32% week over week with NCAA basketball tournaments in full...

Valerie Cross

March 23, 2026

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