Polymarket Archives

Volume Report

Kalshi Crosses $100B Milestone as World Cup Drives Daily Volume Over $1B

Kalshi crossed $100 billion in lifetime notional volume last week, and followed it up with its first-ever billion-dollar trading days on Saturday and Sunday. Kalshi’s notional volume...

Valerie Cross

June 15, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race

Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate...

Pat Evans

June 15, 2026

US Elections

Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears

While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the...

Pat Evans

June 15, 2026

A new coalition including Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US is challenging Kentucky’s first-of-its-kind prediction market tax and related business restrictions, setting up a legal test of how far states can go in regulating federally supervised event contract platforms.

Legal News & Updates

Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US Sue to Block Kentucky Prediction Market Tax

The lawsuit challenges Kentucky’s 14.25% tax and limits on gaming operators’ prediction market ties while also revealing the new Coalition for Fair Markets, which brings rival...

Mike Breen

June 13, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock

Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of...

Pat Evans

June 12, 2026

World Cup prediction markets are expanding beyond match outcomes into the culture, politics and media moments surrounding the tournament.

Industry

From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch

World Cup markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show the platforms testing how much of the tournament’s surrounding culture can become...

Mike Breen

June 9, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President

Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection...

Pat Evans

June 9, 2026

US Elections

Trump Endorsement Faces Iowa-Style Test in South Carolina GOP Governor Primary

Prediction markets give Trump-backed Pamela Evette an 81% chance to win South Carolina’s GOP governor primary, but polling and recent Iowa results suggest the race may be closer than...

Pat Evans

June 8, 2026

US Elections

Platner Holds Maine Senate Edge as Markets Brush Off Scandals; Polls Less Convinced

Prediction markets still favor Graham Platner in Maine’s Senate race despite scandals and mixed polling, with traders pricing him as the likely Democratic nominee and slight general...

Pat Evans

June 8, 2026

US Elections

Pratt Falls to Third in LA Mayor Race as Prediction Markets Correct Course

Prediction markets over-estimated Spencer Pratt’s early LA mayoral surge before vote counts pushed him to third. Karen Bass remains favored for November, with Nithya Raman now the likely...

Pat Evans

June 8, 2026

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