Volume Report

Data

Kalshi Posts Record $2.9B Week on NCAA Basketball Tournaments as Polymarket Dips

Kalshi posted a new volume record for the week of March 9-15, surging to $2.9B on the back of NCAAB conference tournaments. Meanwhile, Polymarket dipped 6% ahead of the March fed...

Valerie Cross

March 16, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket hit record combined volume

Data

Prediction Markets Hit $5.9B as Kalshi and Polymarket Set Combined Weekly Record

Kalshi ($2.86B) and Polymarket ($2.50B) had their best combined week on record as Polymarket surpassed $1B in sports for the first time. Tracking also now available for Polymarket US and...

Valerie Cross

March 9, 2026

Kalshi Polymarket grow in february as gap closes

Industry

Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Both Kalshi ($9.93B) and Polymarket ($7.94B) posted MoM increases of nearly 4% in February. Meanwhile, Polymarket volume surged 32% WoW with help from Khamenei markets to close the gap on...

Valerie Cross

March 2, 2026

Data

Trump’s State of the Union Is a Multi-Million Dollar Mention Market — Here’s How Traders Are Playing It

We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union...

Valerie Cross

February 24, 2026

Prediction market volume steady at 5.25 billion

Industry

Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1.4% to $5.25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6.7% to $2.59 billion as Polymarket slid 3.2% WoW to $1.83...

Valerie Cross

February 23, 2026

Opinion prediction market growth - is it real?

Volume Report

Is Opinion Lab’s $8B Prediction Market Volume Real? The Data Says It’s Complicated

Opinion onchain prediction exchange hit $8.08B in January volume for 31% market share. But 13–25x larger trades, sharp user swings, and structural incentives point to inflated trading...

Valerie Cross

February 23, 2026

Prediction markets gain Fed attention as economists weigh their value alongside traditional forecasts

Industry

Federal Reserve Study Finds Kalshi Markets Rival Traditional Economic Forecast Tools

Fed economists find Kalshi’s macro markets to be helpful complementary real-time forecasting tools, as CEPR research highlights pricing bias concerns that require careful...

Mike Breen

February 19, 2026

Data

Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x

Weekly volume fell 14.8% to $5.3B after Super Bowl Sunday’s $1.34B spike, yet industry volume has grown 13x in six months. Kalshi continues to lead in sports, Polymarket dominates...

Valerie Cross

February 16, 2026

Data

$1.63B in Super Bowl Prediction Market Volume, $304M on Culture: Full Data Breakdown

We tracked $1.63B in Super Bowl prediction market volume across 68+ markets and 37 mention strikes. Our data shows $304M on halftime, ads etc. and 2,700%+ YoY growth for...

Valerie Cross

February 13, 2026

super bowl trading spurs record kalshi week

Volume Report

Super Bowl Fuels Kalshi Volume to Record $2.8B Week as Prediction Markets Hold Near $6.3B

Kalshi hit a record $2.80B volume week with the Super Bowl surge as Polymarket slipped to $1.92B; Weekly transactions jumped 21.8% WoW to 34.6...

Valerie Cross

February 9, 2026

1 2 3