Volume Report
NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16
NFL volume across Kalshi, Polymarket Global and Polymarket US hit $167.8 million, up 324.4% from week prior....
Cheryle Shepstone
August 17, 2026
Polymarket
US Elections
Florida Primaries Are Loaded With Prediction Markets, but Only a Few Races Are Actually Getting Serious Money
Florida’s August 18 primaries feature markets ranging from Rep. Byron Donalds’ near-certain governor nomination to a progressive test in South Florida, but liquidity is concentrating in...
Pat Evans
August 17, 2026
US Elections
Trump-Backed Graham Nordone Faces South Carolina Senate Runoff Test, Prediction Markets Pile Behind Her
Sen. Darline Graham Nordone entered South Carolina’s Republican Senate special primary as the heavy market favorite, but failed to clear 50% and now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in an August...
Pat Evans
August 14, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Nail Minnesota Primaries, Backing Flanagan And Tafoya In A Progressive Wave Test
Prediction markets correctly picked Minnesota’s major primary winners, including progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Republican Senate nominee Michele Tafoya, rebounding after a...
Pat Evans
August 12, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Miss Again as Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin’s Democratic Governor Primary
Francesca Hong entered Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary trading at 96% on prediction markets. She lost anyway. David Crowley’s narrow upset is the sharpest rebuke yet to the idea...
Pat Evans
August 12, 2026
US Elections
Hong Heads Into Wisconsin Governor Primary as Near Prediction Markets Lock, but Her November Problem Is Already Showing
Francesca Hong is trading at 95% to win Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket, putting her at the front of another progressive-wave test Tuesday....
Pat Evans
August 11, 2026
US Elections
Individual Prediction Markets Contracts Show Democrats With Path To Senate Control
Republicans remain slight favorites to hold the Senate in the headline market, but the state-by-state picture is moving in Democrats’ direction. Kalshi gives the GOP a 54% chance to keep...
Pat Evans
August 10, 2026
Volume Report
Prediction Market Volume Rebounds Above $10 Billion as Politics Surges Ahead of NFL Season
Prediction markets rebound as trading tops $10 billion, with Kalshi leading the surge and a growth in political markets driving...
Matt Bain
August 10, 2026
US Elections
Minnesota Primaries Put Progressive Wave to Another Test, Even as Prediction Markets Hold Firm on Flanagan
Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan heads into Tuesday’s Minnesota Democratic Senate primary as the prediction-market favorite, trading at 72% on both Kalshi and Polymarket. But with the latest...
Pat Evans
August 10, 2026
US Elections
Talarico Draws Even With Paxton in Texas Senate Prediction Markets as New Poll Flips the Race
James Talarico has pulled even with Republican Ken Paxton on the Texas Senate prediction markets after a new poll showed the Democrat ahead by four points. Kalshi briefly priced Talarico at...
Pat Evans
August 10, 2026