Industry
Kalshi Names Insider Trading Violators Linked to MrBeast, Election Markets
Amid push for market integrity transparency, Kalshi sanctioned former California gubernatorial candidate and trader linked to MrBeast markets in insider trading enforcement...
Crypto
Polymarket Traders Allege Settlement Exploit Targeting Liquidity Providers
Polymarket posted a disclaimer about a "technical exploit that may be artificially distorting prices," highlighting risks in hybrid central limit order book (CLOB) and on-chain settlement...
Industry
DimeTrades Files for CFTC Exchange Status, Backed by Kalshi Attorneys
DimeTrades applied for CFTC designation as a regulated prediction market exchange with Polymarket's clearing, backed by a team with deep experience in derivatives regulation and market...
Data
Trump Speech Generated $11.97M in Volume, Kalshi Hourly Breakdown
Kalshi's mention market on Trump's speech took in 391,165 trades over 46 days of live markets . 79% of the money showed up on speech night for a total of 11.97 million in lifetime...
Industry
9 of the Most Bizarre Prediction Markets Open for State of the Union
From Trump's water intake to whether he'll say "discombobulator," prediction markets have left no stone...
Industry
SOTU Odds: Mentions, Attendance, Trump’s Speech at Kalshi and Polymarket
Kalshi and Polymarket International have more than $17 million in combined SOTU volume across mentions, attendance, Trump's speech duration, handshakes, and more. Here's everything you can...
Data
Trump’s State of the Union Is a Multi-Million Dollar Mention Market — Here’s How Traders Are Playing It
We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union...
Industry
Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share
Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1.4% to $5.25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6.7% to $2.59 billion as Polymarket slid 3.2% WoW to $1.83...
Industry
FiscalNote Bets on Political Prediction Markets as New Frontier for Policy Intelligence
The publicly traded policy intelligence platform formalized its political prediction markets ambitions in a Feb. 20 SEC filing, tapping Dr. Laila Mintas as a strategic adviser and outlining...
Crypto
Crypto.com Wins Conditional Approval for U.S. Crypto Custodian Bank, but Conditions Remain
Crypto.com cleared a major regulatory hurdle on its path to becoming a federally regulated custodian. Conditional approval is not final approval, and a checklist of requirements stands...
Crypto
Is Opinion Lab’s $8B Prediction Market Volume Real? The Data Says It’s Complicated
Opinion onchain prediction exchange hit $8.08B in January volume for 31% market share. But 13–25x larger trades, sharp user swings, and structural incentives point to inflated trading...
Industry
Kalshi–Tradeweb Deal Signals Prediction Markets’ Push Into Institutional Macro Hedging
Embedding Kalshi data in Tradeweb first gives institutional desks a new signal layer for hedging and positioning, but direct trading integration would be structurally disruptive by letting...
