Prediction Market Reports

Weekly and monthly breakdowns of trading volume across major prediction market platforms. Each report tracks dollar volumes, market share shifts, and emerging trends across Kalshi, Polymarket, and other platforms with original data and analysis.

Kalshi and Polymarket surge on march madness

Data

Kalshi Hits Record $3.4B Week with March Madness as Polymarket Tallies $2.5B

Kalshi posted a new record $3.40 billion notional volume week as Polymarket's sports volume surged 32% week over week with NCAA basketball tournaments in full...

Valerie Cross

March 23, 2026

Data

Kalshi Posts Record $2.9B Week on NCAA Basketball Tournaments as Polymarket Dips

Kalshi posted a new volume record for the week of March 9-15, surging to $2.9B on the back of NCAAB conference tournaments. Meanwhile, Polymarket dipped 6% ahead of the March fed...

Valerie Cross

March 16, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket hit record combined volume

Data

Prediction Markets Hit $5.9B as Kalshi and Polymarket Set Combined Weekly Record

Kalshi ($2.86B) and Polymarket ($2.50B) had their best combined week on record as Polymarket surpassed $1B in sports for the first time. Tracking also now available for Polymarket US and...

Valerie Cross

March 9, 2026

Kalshi Polymarket grow in february as gap closes

Industry

Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Both Kalshi ($9.93B) and Polymarket ($7.94B) posted MoM increases of nearly 4% in February. Meanwhile, Polymarket volume surged 32% WoW with help from Khamenei markets to close the gap on...

Valerie Cross

March 2, 2026

Data

Trump’s State of the Union Is a Multi-Million Dollar Mention Market — Here’s How Traders Are Playing It

We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union...

Valerie Cross

February 24, 2026

Prediction market volume steady at 5.25 billion

Industry

Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1.4% to $5.25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6.7% to $2.59 billion as Polymarket slid 3.2% WoW to $1.83...

Valerie Cross

February 23, 2026

Opinion prediction market growth - is it real?

Crypto

Is Opinion Lab’s $8B Prediction Market Volume Real? The Data Says It’s Complicated

Opinion onchain prediction exchange hit $8.08B in January volume for 31% market share. But 13–25x larger trades, sharp user swings, and structural incentives point to inflated trading...

Valerie Cross

February 23, 2026

Prediction markets gain Fed attention as economists weigh their value alongside traditional forecasts

Industry

Federal Reserve Study Finds Kalshi Markets Rival Traditional Economic Forecast Tools

Fed economists find Kalshi’s macro markets to be helpful complementary real-time forecasting tools, as CEPR research highlights pricing bias concerns that require careful...

Mike Breen

February 19, 2026

super bowl trading spurs record kalshi week

Prediction Market Reports

Super Bowl Fuels Kalshi Volume to Record $2.8B Week as Prediction Markets Hold Near $6.3B

Kalshi hit a record $2.80B volume week with the Super Bowl surge as Polymarket slipped to $1.92B; Weekly transactions jumped 21.8% WoW to 34.6...

Valerie Cross

February 9, 2026

NFL mention market boom going into super bowl

Prediction Market Reports

What Will Collinsworth Say? Super Bowl Mentions Could Be Worth $5 Million in Volume

NFL mention markets surged 715% in average volume this season with a potential to bring in as much as $5 million in volume for Super Bowl. What might Cris Collinsworth and Mike Tirico...

Valerie Cross

February 6, 2026

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