Industry

FiscalNote explores political prediction markets as institutional demand grows for market-based policy forecasts

Industry

FiscalNote Bets on Political Prediction Markets as New Frontier for Policy Intelligence

The publicly traded policy intelligence platform formalized its political prediction markets ambitions in a Feb. 20 SEC filing, tapping Dr. Laila Mintas as a strategic adviser and outlining...

Mike Breen

February 23, 2026

Kalshi–Tradeweb Deal Targets Institutional Macro Hedging

Industry

Kalshi–Tradeweb Deal Signals Prediction Markets’ Push Into Institutional Macro Hedging

Embedding Kalshi data in Tradeweb first gives institutional desks a new signal layer for hedging and positioning, but direct trading integration would be structurally disruptive by letting...

Dirk van Haaster

February 20, 2026

Prediction markets gain Fed attention as economists weigh their value alongside traditional forecasts

Industry

Federal Reserve Study Finds Kalshi Markets Rival Traditional Economic Forecast Tools

Fed economists find Kalshi’s macro markets to be helpful complementary real-time forecasting tools, as CEPR research highlights pricing bias concerns that require careful...

Mike Breen

February 19, 2026

NYSE President: Prediction Markets Move Into Traditional Finance

Industry

NYSE President Says Prediction Markets Are Now Moving Traditional Finance

New York Stock Exchange President Lynn Martin says prediction markets are becoming inputs into traditional market behavior. Speaking at the World Liberty forum at Mar-a-Lago, Martin said it...

Dirk van Haaster

February 19, 2026

Polymarket Launches Public API, Unlocks Permissionless Liquidity

Industry

Polymarket Opens the Pipes: Public APIs and Permissionless Liquidity Mark Structural Shift

Polymarket US is rolling out public APIs and permissionless liquidity rewards to encourage deeper liquidity, tighter spreads, and more institutional participation. But there are...

Dirk van Haaster

February 19, 2026

Industry

Novig Raises $75M, Positions CFTC-Regulated Exchange as Future of Sports Betting

Pantera-led funding round values company at $500 million as Novig pivots from sweepstakes sports betting exchange model to federally-regulated prediction...

Mike Breen

February 18, 2026

ETF applications for election prediction markets

Industry

Bitwise Joins Roundhill in Race to Launch US Election Prediction ETFs

Bitwise filed with the SEC to launch 2028 US election ETFs under its new PredictionShares brand, joining Roundhill and GraniteShares in the race to bring political outcome contracts to NYSE...

Alejandro Miguel

February 18, 2026

Robinhood venture fund should you buy rvi

Industry

What’s in Robinhood Ventures Fund I — and Should You Buy $RVI?

Robinhood Ventures Fund I (RVI) offers retail access to Stripe, Databricks, and 6 other private companies at $25/share. We break down the fees, risks, and how it compares to ARK and...

Valerie Cross

February 17, 2026

Coinbase shifts focus to everything exchange

Crypto

Coinbase Shifts to Stocks, ETFs and Prediction Markets After $667M Q4 Loss

After posting a $667M quarterly loss, Coinbase is scrapping its social push and doubling down on stocks, ETFs and prediction markets to compete as an all-in-one trading...

Iliana Mavrou

February 17, 2026

Industry

Prediction Markets Enter NBA Spotlight as League Signals Growing Interest

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver told reporters during All-Star Weekend the league is "paying enormous amount of attention" to prediction markets following Giannis Antetokounmpo's investment in...

Mike Breen

February 16, 2026

Vitalik Buterin Criticizes Prediction Markets’ Sports, Crypto Pivot

Industry

Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets’ Focus on Sports and Crypto Comes at a Cost

Vitalik Buterin warns prediction markets risk becoming speculative "corposlop," urging a shift toward hedging and long-term financial...

Dirk van Haaster

February 16, 2026

DraftKings stock declines despite optimism about prediction market growth opportunities

Finance & Earnings

DraftKings Stock Drops 15% on Earnings Miss, Doubles Down on Prediction Markets

In Q4 2025 earnings call, DraftKings CEO confirmed plans to invest heavily in new prediction markets product, Railbird rollout and market making arm as shares fall on guidance...

Mike Breen

February 13, 2026

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