Kalshi Archives

General

Kalshi Oscars Odds: Best Actor, Actress, Director and Best Picture Right Now

Best Picture is the biggest Oscar market on Kalshi at $17M in volume, with One Battle After Another leading at 77%. Best Supporting Actor is the second-largest at $5.5M, with Sean Penn the...

Cheryle Shepstone

March 15, 2026

Industry

Prediction Markets Could Top $1T in Annual Volume Says New Report

New report from NEXT.io cites 400% growth in transaction volume from 2024 to 2025. Experts project weekly trading to reach $25 billion, driven by increased diversification in category mix...

Mike Breen

March 10, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket hit record combined volume

Data

Prediction Markets Hit $5.9B as Kalshi and Polymarket Set Combined Weekly Record

Kalshi ($2.86B) and Polymarket ($2.50B) had their best combined week on record as Polymarket surpassed $1B in sports for the first time. Tracking also now available for Polymarket US and...

Valerie Cross

March 9, 2026

Kalshi moves to formalize its death-related settlement rule after controversy over its Iran Supreme Leader market

Regulation & Policy

Kalshi Codifies Death Settlement Rule in CFTC Filing Amid Iran Market Backlash

What’s in Kalshi’s rulebook update filing, plus a look at how other prediction exchanges handled Iranian Supreme Leader markets following Khamenei's...

Mike Breen

March 3, 2026

Industry

Kalshi’s AP Deal Is a Credibility Win — And Its Trust Problem Isn’t Going Away

The AP will provide official election data to Kalshi, but the backlash to the news exposes a widening gap between institutional credibility and public trust that prediction markets must...

Valerie Cross

March 3, 2026

Kalshi Polymarket grow in february as gap closes

Industry

Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Both Kalshi ($9.93B) and Polymarket ($7.94B) posted MoM increases of nearly 4% in February. Meanwhile, Polymarket volume surged 32% WoW with help from Khamenei markets to close the gap on...

Valerie Cross

March 2, 2026

Kalshi froze the Khamenei market, then issued reimbursements

Industry

Kalshi Halts Khamenei Market, Polymarket’s Contract Enters Second Dispute

When U.S. and Israeli strikes hit Iran early Saturday morning, prediction markets faced the scenario critics and regulators had warned about days earlier. Kalshi’s Ali Khamenei...

Cheryle Shepstone

March 1, 2026

Industry

Kalshi Names Insider Trading Violators Linked to MrBeast, Election Markets

Amid push for market integrity transparency, Kalshi sanctioned former California gubernatorial candidate and trader linked to MrBeast markets in insider trading enforcement...

Mike Breen

February 25, 2026

DimeTrades seeks CFTC approval for regulated prediction exchange

Industry

DimeTrades Files for CFTC Exchange Status, Backed by Kalshi Attorneys

DimeTrades applied for CFTC designation as a regulated prediction market exchange with Polymarket's clearing, backed by a team with deep experience in derivatives regulation and market...

Mike Breen

February 25, 2026

Industry

9 of the Most Bizarre Prediction Markets Open for State of the Union

From Trump's water intake to whether he'll say "discombobulator," prediction markets have left no stone...

Cheryle Shepstone

February 24, 2026

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