Data
Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x
Weekly volume fell 14.8% to $5.3B after Super Bowl Sunday’s $1.34B spike, yet industry volume has grown 13x in six months. Kalshi continues to lead in sports, Polymarket dominates...
Valerie Cross
February 16, 2026
Industry
Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets’ Focus on Sports and Crypto Comes at a Cost
Vitalik Buterin warns prediction markets risk becoming speculative "corposlop," urging a shift toward hedging and long-term financial...
Dirk van Haaster
February 16, 2026
Data
$1.63B in Super Bowl Prediction Market Volume, $304M on Culture: Full Data Breakdown
We tracked $1.63B in Super Bowl prediction market volume across 68+ markets and 37 mention strikes. Our data shows $304M on halftime, ads etc. and 2,700%+ YoY growth for...
Valerie Cross
February 13, 2026
Finance & Earnings
DraftKings Stock Drops 15% on Earnings Miss, Doubles Down on Prediction Markets
In Q4 2025 earnings call, DraftKings CEO confirmed plans to invest heavily in new prediction markets product, Railbird rollout and market making arm as shares fall on guidance...
Mike Breen
February 13, 2026
Industry
CFTC taps Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel for New Innovation Panel
CFTC Chair Selig taps 35 crypto, finance, and prediction market leaders for advisory committee. Coinbase, Robinhood, Nasdaq, CME Group, Uniswap, and Solana also among those...
Dirk van Haaster
February 13, 2026
Industry
MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage
MLB is changing its tune toward prediction markets and data-sharing deals for integrity monitoring would be central to any possible partnership with Kalshi or...
Dirk van Haaster
February 12, 2026
Crypto
White House Pushes CLARITY Act Deadline Amid Stablecoin Reward Dispute
The White House is accelerating a March 1 deadline for the CLARITY Act, but talks are stuck over stablecoin rewards, which banks see as a threat to deposits and crypto firms view as...
Iliana Mavrou
February 12, 2026
Regulation & Policy
CFTC Chair Clarifies Role of Regulator in Prediction Markets on ‘Odd Lots’ Podcast
Chairman Mike Selig casts prediction markets as next financial frontier, signaling lighter-touch oversight with flexible regulatory...
Jason Brow
February 12, 2026
Industry
AI-Focused Prediction Market Exchange PMEX Files for CFTC Approval
Pluto (formerly Strike) has filed for DCM and DCO approval with the CFTC under the name PMEX Markets. The goal? "Commoditizing AI infrastructure, starting with...
Mike Breen
February 12, 2026
Industry
Skynet Report Warns of Structural Risks as VC Capital Floods Prediction Market Startups
New prediction markets report notes 4x YoY volume growth to $63.5B in 2025 as structural risks remain unresolved and $3.7B in new capital pours into fresh industry...
Dirk van Haaster
February 11, 2026
Finance & Earnings
Robinhood Q4 Earnings Show Prediction Markets Gaining Structural Importance
Robinhood ($HOOD) earnings report showed 12 billion event contracts traded in 2025 as the exchange continues its quest to build the "Financial...
Dirk van Haaster
February 11, 2026
Industry
Nevada Rep Targets Federal Prediction Market Ban Amid Democrat-Led Charge
Rep. Titus announced a bill to prohibit sports event contracts as Nevada battles Kalshi and others. The push is clearly partisan: Democrats are driving legislative efforts to restrict the...
Mike Breen
February 11, 2026