Regulation & Policy

Tracking the rules shaping prediction and crypto markets — from CFTC oversight and state-level battles to federal legislation and legal challenges between platforms and regulators. We break down what the policy shift means for traders and the industry.

Industry

NFL Pushes Kalshi, Polymarket to Limit Manipulation-Prone Sports Markets

Letters to all regulated prediction market platforms offering NFL markets signal a more direct push by the NFL to restrict markets easily subject to manipulation like player injuries and...

Mike Breen

March 30, 2026

Rep. Seth Moulton has banned staff in his office from participating in prediction markets, as lawmakers introduce new legislation aimed at limiting insider trading and restricting event-based contracts.

Regulation & Policy

Rep. Seth Moulton Bars Staff From Prediction Markets as New Bills Target Insider Trading

Rep. Moulton is first member of Congress to impose office-level prediction market restrictions, while the PREDICT Act becomes the latest bill targeting insider trading by government...

Mike Breen

March 26, 2026

Coinbase rejects stablecoin yield prohibition

Crypto

Coinbase Rejects Stablecoin Yield Ban in New Clarity Act Draft as Experts Weigh In

As Coinbase rejects a new Clarity Act draft that prohibits passive stablecoin yield, some experts warn the approach amounts to “protectionism” against crypto’s biggest competitive...

Iliana Mavrou

March 26, 2026

Magnified trading activity around a potential Iran ceasefire highlights growing scrutiny over insider trading risks in prediction markets

Regulation & Policy

Iran Ceasefire Trades Again Spotlight Insider Trading Rules in Prediction Markets

Well-timed trades ahead of a U.S. policy shift have come under scrutiny on Polymarket and highlight differences in how insider trading is handled across...

Mike Breen

March 25, 2026

A bipartisan Senate proposal aims to block sports event contracts on prediction market platforms, as lawmakers move to set clearer limits on CFTC-regulated exchanges and their overlap with traditional betting markets.

Regulation & Policy

New Bipartisan Senate Bill Targets Sports Prediction Markets

The Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act would ban sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, highlighting growing scrutiny as lawmakers move to set clearer boundaries for...

Mike Breen

March 23, 2026

A growing wave of exchange filings and acquisitions is transforming the infrastructure behind regulated prediction markets

Industry

Prediction Market Land Grab: DCMs, FCMs, and the Race to Control the Stack

A surge of exchange filings and acquisitions is fueling competition among trading platforms seeking to control the infrastructure powering U.S. prediction markets. We break down the key...

Mike Breen

March 23, 2026

Stablecoin yield clash potential resolutions

Crypto

Stablecoin Yield Debate Pits Wall Street Against Crypto as US Nears Policy Breakthrough

A potential breakthrough on stablecoin yield signals a shift in US policymakers' approach to crypto market structure, industry experts tell DeFi Rate, with implications for how stablecoins...

Iliana Mavrou

March 20, 2026

MLB makes deals with Polymarket and cftc

Industry

MLB Partners with Polymarket, Signs First-Of-Its-Kind CFTC Agreement

Partnership and CFTC agreement signal deeper alignment between leagues, prediction platforms, and federal regulators on market integrity...

Mike Breen

March 19, 2026

Industry

Inside New CFTC Prediction Market Guidance: Milbank Attorneys Weigh In

Milbank, the law firm defending Kalshi in ongoing court battles, offered a behind-the-scenes look at recent CFTC prediction market guidance and what it means for...

Pat Evans

March 17, 2026

CFTC launches rulemaking process and issues new guidance on how exchanges should evaluate prediction market event contracts

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Launches Prediction Market Rulemaking, Issues Guidance Sports Contracts

The CFTC opened a 45-day comment period on prediction market regulation and reinforced exchanges’ role in policing event...

Mike Breen

March 12, 2026

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