Kalshi Archives

Data

Trump’s State of the Union Is a Multi-Million Dollar Mention Market — Here’s How Traders Are Playing It

We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union...

Valerie Cross

February 24, 2026

Prediction market volume steady at 5.25 billion

Industry

Prediction Market Volume Holds at $5.25B as Kalshi Nears 50% Market Share

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1.4% to $5.25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6.7% to $2.59 billion as Polymarket slid 3.2% WoW to $1.83...

Valerie Cross

February 23, 2026

Kalshi–Tradeweb Deal Targets Institutional Macro Hedging

Industry

Kalshi–Tradeweb Deal Signals Prediction Markets’ Push Into Institutional Macro Hedging

Embedding Kalshi data in Tradeweb first gives institutional desks a new signal layer for hedging and positioning, but direct trading integration would be structurally disruptive by letting...

Dirk van Haaster

February 20, 2026

Prediction markets gain Fed attention as economists weigh their value alongside traditional forecasts

Industry

Federal Reserve Study Finds Kalshi Markets Rival Traditional Economic Forecast Tools

Fed economists find Kalshi’s macro markets to be helpful complementary real-time forecasting tools, as CEPR research highlights pricing bias concerns that require careful...

Mike Breen

February 19, 2026

Industry

Prediction Markets Enter NBA Spotlight as League Signals Growing Interest

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver told reporters during All-Star Weekend the league is "paying enormous amount of attention" to prediction markets following Giannis Antetokounmpo's investment in...

Mike Breen

February 16, 2026

Data

Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x

Weekly volume fell 14.8% to $5.3B after Super Bowl Sunday’s $1.34B spike, yet industry volume has grown 13x in six months. Kalshi continues to lead in sports, Polymarket dominates...

Valerie Cross

February 16, 2026

Data

$1.63B in Super Bowl Prediction Market Volume, $304M on Culture: Full Data Breakdown

We tracked $1.63B in Super Bowl prediction market volume across 68+ markets and 37 mention strikes. Our data shows $304M on halftime, ads etc. and 2,700%+ YoY growth for...

Valerie Cross

February 13, 2026

MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships for Integrity

Industry

MLB Eyes Prediction Market Partnerships as Integrity Takes Center Stage

MLB is changing its tune toward prediction markets and data-sharing deals for integrity monitoring would be central to any possible partnership with Kalshi or...

Dirk van Haaster

February 12, 2026

Industry

Kalshi Files Sportsbook Hedging Program, Partners with Game Point Capital

Kalshi is making a strong case for prediction markets as real-world hedging tools to lay off corporate risk in the sports industry....

Alejandro Miguel

February 10, 2026

Kalshi and polymarket vs massachusetts escalates

Industry

Kalshi Loses in Massachusetts, Polymarket Sues — Will the CFTC Intervene?

Kalshi must geofence Massachusetts within 30 days; Polymarket sued to avoid the same fate. A legal expert explains why this won't be resolved anytime...

Jason Brow

February 10, 2026

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